V.P.I.
Value per Pick Index
The Value per Pick Index (V.P.I.) was developed in 1998 to measure how effectively each individual draft pick
was used.  Each selection is evaluated based on pick number, talent available, positional depth, three year
statistical averages, 2005 projections, and the trend analysis of the previous five N.J.R.B.L. drafts.  The V.P.I.
does not factor in the quantity of picks a team has or the team needs.  It is assumed that a team would move
down in the draft to select appropriate value while meeting team needs.  A perfect score on the V.P.I. Is 1.0.
1 La-z-Boyz 0.890  
VPI Comments: Top to bottom one of the best drafts in NJRBL history.  After every pick you find yourself saying "Wow", "Nice", etc..
4. C.Lee 0.934 Best stud potential arm in the draft.  Rock solid pick.
9. J.Rollins 0.826 VPI loves trading down to get a guy you like.  Still a little early.
27. T.Hoffman 0.883 Solid closer value, no longer a keeper but how many are?
28. R.Hernandez 0.915 Best Catcher in draft. Don't underestimate move from SD to Balt.
51. C.Jackson 0.874 Can't get crazy on potential, but same chances as guys taken much earlier
52. J.Dye 0.909 Has some known holes, but exceptional value for one of top available Ofs
2 Monarchs 0.867  
VPI Comments: Came off plan to add closers when they went early; VPI loves real time adjustments to stick with value
23. J.Lackey 0.927 Managed to grab the last of the four top starters with only first round pick
47. M.Piazza 0.873 Gamble that move to west coast will result in one more decent season
48. D.Davis 0.826 Developing into very predictable draft day starter
71. R.Belliard 0.865 Round three figured to provide nice 2B value; good pick
72. M.Ellis 0.845 Below average pop, but will provide saver numbers in other categories
3 Freaks 0.861  
VPI Comments: Take some chances.  Year after year of steady drafts that don't improve savers.  The conservative banker approach.
7. G.Jenkins 0.864 Steady across the board production; usually a bubble saver
8. J.Patterson 0.931 Numbers compare to most of the starters that were saved
31. A.Benitez 0.834 Older and injury risk, but capable of elite closer numbers
32. M.Barrett 0.805 Little early; Steady and unspectacular which seems to be the Freaks approach
55. E.Bedard 0.817 If his projections pan out will be a steal at this spot in draft
56. R.Furcal 0.913 Just as good as middles that went two rounds earlier
4 Nyuk Nyuk Nyuk 0.850  
VPI Comments: Like the aggressive move to grab Drew.  Gets consitent proven value.  Struggles valuing younger talent.
2. JD Drew 0.894 Top rated available hitter.  Needs to stay healthy.
13. B.Myers 0.901 One of four first round starters provides excellent value.
37. O.Perez 0.839 Maybe a bit early, but got to love that K ratio
61. D.Lowe 0.873 Closer run pushed this solid veteran starter down a few rungs
62. C.Biggio 0.813 Hard to argue with pop middle that doubles as a potenital bday present for bro
63. L.Gonzalez 0.778 About done and likely former juicer still might be able to take another lap
5 RH Factor 0.838  
VPI Comments: Dealt many early picks in 2005 fifth place run.  Changes pitching strategy every year.  Might need to alter approach.   
15. BJ Ryan 0.864 Best closer in draft; big contract and new team make a little more questionable
39. J.Garland 0.812 Bit early for a lousy K ratio and limited success; good team and young
6 Bombers 0.800  
VPI Comments: Closer strategy impacted other teams.  Does staff have starters to make it work?  Huge risk for potential title hopes.
 
17. B.Wagner 0.862 Safest closer option in the draft; should benefit from pitchers park
18. D.Turnbow 0.745 Lot of negative scouting reports in offseason.  Better get 35 saves at this spot.
41. E.Guardado 0.871 Underrated reliable closer.  Won't be a keeper, but very solid.
42. R.Dempster 0.723 Scary WHIP makes one wonder.  Converted saves in second half of 2005.
50. T.Gordon 0.762 Old and in a new pressure role.  Should have fired this bullet at Furcal.   
65. C.Guillen 0.804 Figured to go near end of first day.  Injury prone but productive.
66. M.Loretta 0.832 Steady hitter that could benefit by move to better hitters park. 
7 Swillers 0.777  
VPI Comments: Had to get a corner after save mistake.  Most of draft were reaches, although did like the All in Family theme
3. A.Beltre 0.894 Best corner in draft; should thank Owner that did not save him…oops
10. R.Cano 0.623 Awfully early to be using Yankees year book for draft magazine
33. J.Bonderman 0.709 Fill in bottom of staff talent for 2006; still young enough to improve
34. J.Blanton 0.793 Lacks stuff to ever be considered a top shelf starter
58. K.Johjima 0.764 Cool name, WBC flavor pick.  His production won't separate him from pack.
70. N.Johnson 0.879 Still young but just can't stay healthy.  Good spot at end of round 3.
8 Beagles 0.767  
VPI Comments: Lot of position fillers with limited upside.  Likes to collect Rangers and Rockies.  Needs to improve savers.
11. I.Kinsler 0.785 Not a great value pick, but young touted Rangers can be enticing
12. C.Barmes 0.762 Even altitude won't help this guy from putting up very ordinary SS numbers
35. AJ Pierzynski 0.765 Usually on Beagles roster, usually adequate at best.  Early for adequate.
36. M.Gonzalez 0.822 The K ratio make this guy interesting.  Closers had added value
59. R.Barajas 0.834 Slot this AJ clone as a Beagles third rounder for the next 5 years
60. A.Harang 0.632 Third round pick for a player that figured to be claimed?  Can pitch BP
9 PC 1st Cousins 0.748  
VPI Comments: Hit or Miss.  Added some nice young chips that are potential savers.  Forced some picks at deeper positions.  
5. J.Morneau 0.892 Best firstbase prospect available.  Young with legit 40 pop potential.
6. T.Iguchi 0.653 Did Ichiro need a road roomie?  Can't go with steady at this spot in the draft
29. J.Willingham 0.619 Not real touted, not real young, not real good, not a top 30 pick
30. E.Encarnacion 0.853 Stock rising all spring.  Young with good pop in a nice park.
53. C.Young 0.861 Solid pick if he gets expected boost from change of scenery
54. P.Polanco 0.702 Many better middles available.  A position filler rather than difference maker
67. B.McCann 0.694 Youth and down the road potential only difference to catchers taken rounds later
68. D.Cabrera 0.713 Has a knack with young arms.  Baltimore can be rough spot to develop.
10 Scrubs 0.735  
VPI Comments: Very uninspiring.  Seemed to be filling spots over value.  Bad drafts will catch up to once dominant franchise.
19. C.Crisp 0.706 Must have liked the name when on roster before.  Early for this type.
20. B.Jenks 0.753 Shaky job status is biggest concern.  Ozzie is not patient.
43. B.Molina 0.643 Forced a catcher selection with no third round picks.  Could have waited.
44. J.Valverde 0.836 Bombers adding closers really hurt this franchise.  Did not adjust.
11 Notorious Cuz 0.722  
VPI Comments: Be bold.  Package early picks for one proven younger guy.  Many of players taken would be there later.
1. C.Crawford 0.821 Very hyped.  TBSB monster.  May never translate to NJRBL stud.
14. D.Johnson 0.635 Kotchman (24) and Jackson (51) are very similar and taken later
16. F.Liriano 0.726 All young guys are the next somebody.  Better arms available here.
24. C.Kotchman 0.712 Thrilled to pick up unexpected first round bonus money!
25. P.Wilson 0.868 Not far removed from monster numbers.  Could be in ideal spot.
26. B.Wood 0.602 Too early to be taking someone you think has to be a manual add
38. C.Ray 0.843 Young and touted with the job.  Closers flew off the board.
40. J.Mathis 0.578 Clubhouse boys thrilled to have him back since he helps with the wash
49. J.Barfield 0.712 Grabbed early before Swills went on 'All in Family' run
12 Thunderstix 0.701  
VPI Comments: Very bad first day.  Things returned to 2005 form on the second day when he stopped forcing things. 
21. J.Gibbons 0.714 Most of the outfielders in his group went on day 2
22. D.Haren 0.704 Did he think this was HarDen in the med induced state?
45. M.Jacobs 0.615 Bad line up, very unproven, lost catcher eligibility…pinch hitter by the break
46. C.Orvella 0.701 Tampa Bay closers are not usually hot commodities on draft day
69. B.Wickman 0.773 Unlikely to repeat 2005 performance, but still decent shot to get saves
VPI Analysis of Talent Pool
Tougher to analyze talent pool with rule changes.  Most difficult aspect was assigning closer value since quality and
quantity were improved.  I though there were four starters that had sure round one talent.  Next tier was about ten deep
and figured to go in next couple rounds.  Thought Ramon Hernandez was best catcher option and after that there was a
good sized group that were tough to tell apart.  Firstbase and thirdbase were very weak.  After Morneau and Beltre the
drop was severe.  Some young corners that would move up based on potential.  Shortstop talent level was weak
with only a couple of guys (Furcal and Rollins) that figured to get early looks.  Secondbase was probably the deepest
position, and there was not much difference at the top.  This seemed to make waiting a few rounds and taking what was
left a smart value move.  Best outfielders were Drew, Crawford, and Jenkins.  Remaining outfielders figured to start really
moving after the first few rounds.  Overall, if you were not getting one of the top available offensive players at a position it
made the most sense to grab pitching.  Closers going quicker than expected seemed to confuse some.